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Huge Tax Hikes Coming Unless Congress Acts

September 22, 2010

Budget & Tax News > October 2010

Written By: Alyssa Carducci

Published In: Budget & Tax News > October 2010

Publisher: The Heartland Institute


President Obama campaigned on the promise that middle-income earners—those earning $250,000 or less annually—would experience no tax increases. On the upcoming New Year’s Day, however, virtually every American will be facing the possibility of higher taxes.
Lowered tax rates on a wide variety of items including personal income, capital gains, dividends, and estate taxes that became law in 2001 and 2003 are set to expire on January 1 unless Congress extends them.

“Everyone’s tax rates will go up; everyone will see significantly higher taxes,” said Curtis Dubay, a senior policy analyst for the Heritage Foundation. “For the middle class that were promised not to pay tax increases, they’ll certainly see a much smaller paycheck starting in January.”

$1,540 per Family
Nationally, the typical middle-income family, which has a median income of $63,366, would see its federal income tax burden increase by $1,540 if the tax cuts expire, according to an analysis by the Tax Foundation.
“The Democrats are falling all over themselves promising the press and the American people that they will extend certain of the 2001 and 2003 tax relief, patch the AMT, etc.  However, there seems to be no solid plans for doing so before the election [in November],” said Ryan Ellis, tax policy director for Americans for Tax Reform.

“In essence, they are asking people to trust that Congress will act after people have had [their only] chance to punish Congress if they don’t,” he said. “There are many of us on the right who believe that they don’t care to extend any of the tax cuts. They need the revenue to fund their permanently higher government spending.”

Business Burdens
American families and individual taxpayers would not be the only ones affected by the tax hike that will result if Congress takes no action. Ellis says both large and small businesses also have no certainty right now. 

“If you’re a large employer, the expiration of the tax extenders—particularly the research and experimentation credit—gives you no ability to plan,” he said. “So there’s no sense of stability there,” he said.

He also pointed out many small businesses pay taxes at the rates applied to individuals.
“No one is sure where those rates are going to be, but there’s an increasing sense among business owners that rates are going up in January. There’s also uncertainty about small business expensing and the death tax,” he said.

Hundreds of Billions More
He said the combination of letting the 2001 and 2003 tax relief provisions expire, failing to “patch” the alternative minimum tax, and implementing the ObamaCare tax hikes would raise the nation’s tax burden hundreds of billions of dollars a year.
The alternative minimum tax was created 40 years ago to apply only to a handful of wealthy taxpayers to ensure they would pay a minimum amount of income tax, but it now affects millions of taxpayers because it has never been indexed for inflation. It does away with most deductions and tax credits, forcing people to pay more income tax.
Congress has been “patching” the tax code in recent years to help some people who would otherwise be hit by the AMT avoid its higher taxes.

“The tired old myth that the 2001 and 2003 tax cuts were just tax cuts for the rich will finally, once and for all, be proven false,” Dubay said.

Alyssa Carducci (adc.republican@yahoo.com) writes from Florida.

SIDEBAR

If Congress allows the 2001 and 2003 tax cuts to expire, these are major changes that would happen:

  • Income tax would increase by 3 to 5 percentage points for every bracket, including an end to the lowest tax bracket, currently 10 percent.
  • Capital gains tax rates would rise from 15 percent to 20 percent, and dividends taxes would jump from 15 percent to 39.6 percent.
  • The death tax would rise from zero to 55 percent on estates over $1 million.
  • The child tax credit would drop from $1000 to $500 per child.

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September 16, 2010

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Economy 101: Who benefits from new banking rules?

September 14, 2010

By PALLAVI GOGOI (AP)

NEW YORK — At the core of an international agreement to head off future financial meltdowns is a requirement that banks keep more money on hand in case of trouble.The new rule released Sunday by the Basel Committee on Banking Supervision aims to fortify banks worldwide and prevent them from spiraling into the kind of global financial crisis that brought the world to its knees in 2008.Banks will have about eight years to comply fully with the rules, but the proposed changes could have immediate effects on the U.S. economy. Some questions and answers about the new global banking rules: 

Q. What is Basel and how does it have so much power?

A. The Basel Committee is a group of top central bankers from 27 nations who meet regularly and look for ways to manage risk for banks worldwide. The U.S. is represented by Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke. It is the only forum that the world relies on to create a common standard for large global banks.

Q. What’s the main change this year?

A. The most dramatic change proposed by the Basel Committee was a more than three-fold increase, from 2 percent to 7 percent, in the “core capital ratio,” or the amount of money banks need to set aside to help absorb losses on loans. The fear is that if banks have less capital than their losses, they cannot meet payments on their own debt, and they usually fail. Capital is expressed as a percentage of a bank’s assets.

Q. Who stands to benefit?

A. Consumers and some shareholders, perhaps. Most American banks already meet the new standard, and some actually exceed it, according to Richard Bove, banking analyst at investment firm Rochdale Securities. Many of the larger U.S. banks raised enormous amounts of capital after American regulators required them to do so last year on the heels of the financial crisis.That means the rules could help free up some capital for lending to American consumers, in the form of mortgages or credit cards. It will also benefit shareholders of the stronger banks who will likely see higher dividends.It “should be a positive catalyst for banks with strong capital and in a position to increase dividends,” Fred Cannon, banking analyst at Keefe, Bruyette & Woods, said in a report.

Q. Who stands to lose?

A. Smaller community banks or credit unions that are already struggling with high loan losses and foreclosures. Many of them have found it hard to raise capital, and they will struggle with the new requirements.

Small businesses that rely on community banks for their borrowing needs could have an even tougher time getting loans. That could hurt job creation.

“Right now, we need banks to lend in local economies, not focus on new requirements,” said Sean Egan, managing director of Egan Jones Rating Agency. Egan believes that smaller banks will rush to comply with the rules rather than waiting years to comply. “They will try to make up for the higher capital requirements by lending at higher rates and stiffer terms,” Egan said.

Q. Will these new rules prevent another meltdown?

A. Possibly. If banks are forced to hold a higher percentage of capital for all the loans they write, it will prevent the kind of zero-down, zero-interest loans that were offered during the real estate boom. And if banks are stronger, they will be able to withstand the kind of losses that they faced during the last financial crisis.

However, not everyone agrees that the capital requirements are strong enough to avoid another meltdown.

Said Simon Johnson, an economics professor at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology and a former International Monetary Fund chief economist: “Lehman Brothers had 11.6 percent (of the same kind of) capital one day before it failed. The new capital requirements will not even reach that inadequate level.”

Copyright © 2010 The Associated Press. All rights reserved.

U.S. Businesses Paying Bills More Slowly

September 2, 2010

Experian’s Business Benchmark Report is a monthly view of how U.S. businesses are faring. In July the national average number of days that businesses paid their bills beyond contracted terms increased by 2 percent compared with June. When compared with six months ago, the average payment beyond contracted terms has increased by 3.3 percent. The July report also showed that the national average dollars delinquent and dollars severely delinquent (91 or more days) are up (6 percent and 13 percent, respectively) when compared with six months ago.

Other findings from this month’s Business Benchmark Report include the following:

• 

The average commercial risk score for July was 58.3, up 0.5 percent over June’s average score of 58.0. The score is essentially unchanged when compared with six months ago.

• 

Very large businesses and nonemployer businesses have shown the greatest increase in Days Beyond Terms (DBT), increasing by 5.6 percent and 4.0 percent, respectively, when compared with six months ago. Conversely, midsize businesses (with 50 to 499 employees) showed the biggest improvement, reducing DBT by as much as 6.1 percent over the same period.

For additional findings, download the full report or view an archive of previous Business Benchmark Reports.

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